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Data Science Predicts the Future of Game of Thrones

game of thrones

It is irrefutable that the HBO series, Game of Thrones is a phenomenon that has captivated the world. Since its release in 2011, Game of Thrones has steadily garnered viewership, owing mostly to its bold, grotesque and unpredictable screenplay. The season 6 finale had a total viewership of 8.9 million, across the world.

This cultural phenomenon has surpassed the entertainment industry. People across various domains are intrigued by the factors that make Game of Thrones the exceptional success it is and data science is no exception. Data enthusiasts have taken to analytics, coding and also machine learning to map, analyze and predict various aspects of the series.

The Death Prediction Algorithm

Over the six seasons of Game of Thrones, a plethora of theories, predictions and patterns have been uncovered using data. Fans have predicted Ned Stark’s death and Jon Snow’s return from the dead.

Source: Variety

One of the most interesting results that came from combining Game of Thrones and data science was the creation of a computer algorithm that was capable of predicting the deaths in the series. Following this, the mainstream media began releasing infographics and data sets about the patterns of death on Game of Thrones and how one could possibly predict the next. For instance, details such as the deadliest locations (King’s Landing with 322 deaths), deadliest killer (Cersei having killed 198 characters) and comparative data such as the possibility of death amongst men (33%) and women (23%) started surfacing and people began using these data sets to conceptualize their theories and predictions.

Predictions and theories have become a huge part of the GOT fandom. The number has only gone up with the premiere of the new season. Fans and data enthusiasts have come up with theories using spheres of data analytics such as pattern recognition, data mining, scrutinizing uncertainty, and visualization.

Data aficionados believe that nothing about Game of Thrones is a random event. They also agree that with the right approach, it is possible to uncover its future. Some people have gone as far as flying drones over the sets while the filming to gain and confirm their theories. While some resort to statistics and data patterns, which they manually extracted and observed over the last seasons, some strongly believe that Machine Learning can correctly predict the future of Game of Thrones.

Predictions for Season 7

Some of the theories and predictions for this season, backed by data gathered over the past six seasons are so grounded that they cannot be refuted. For instance:

The following data predicts that this season’s heroes will be Sansa and Jon. The prediction is based on the characters’ screen time trend, mapped over the last six seasons:


( Source: https://looker.com/blog/data-of-thrones-part-iii)

Another intriguing prediction is that the episode 7 of the season would be the deadliest, if the series followed its story-arc peaking trend from the previous seasons. Some of the most plausible theories include ‘Jamie killing Cersei’, ‘The end of little finger’ and ‘Bran will bring The Wall down’. Each of these theories is backed by patterns and occurrences observed in the past.

There is a lot of debate on which aspect of data science can predict the future of Game of Thrones. However, there is no denying that data science is capable of it. The internet is filled with multiple predictions and analysis that are strongly grounded in data. George R. R. Martin has even admitted that the real ending has already been predicted by the fans. Only time will tell whether these predictions will come true or not. For now, gear up because Winter is Here!

What are some of your predictions for this season of Game of Thrones?  Tell us via comments!

About MGADS

Manipal Global Academy of Data Science offers cutting-edge learning solutions in the field of data science. MGADS faculty comprises of academicians, data science experts, and IT professionals to guide you in today’s competitive environment. If you are keen on becoming a data scientist, MGADS will equip you to do the same.

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